Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.001083 0.001120 0.001157 0.001198 0.001241 0.001286 0.001336
2025-08-24 0.001000 0.001052 0.001107 0.001169 0.001238 0.001311 0.001396
2025-08-31 0.000960 0.001025 0.001096 0.001177 0.001270 0.001374 0.001498
2025-09-07 0.000922 0.000997 0.001079 0.001177 0.001292 0.001423 0.001587
2025-09-14 0.000883 0.000964 0.001055 0.001165 0.001297 0.001452 0.001652
2025-09-21 0.000849 0.000934 0.001031 0.001150 0.001296 0.001472 0.001705
2025-09-28 0.000822 0.000911 0.001014 0.001142 0.001303 0.001500 0.001768
2025-10-05 0.000785 0.000874 0.000978 0.001110 0.001275 0.001483 0.001771
2025-10-12 0.000764 0.000856 0.000963 0.001102 0.001279 0.001504 0.001824
2025-10-19 0.000749 0.000844 0.000956 0.001103 0.001292 0.001539 0.001898
2025-10-26 0.000731 0.000827 0.000943 0.001094 0.001293 0.001556 0.001947
2025-11-02 0.000719 0.000818 0.000937 0.001095 0.001306 0.001589 0.002022
2025-11-09 0.000704 0.000804 0.000925 0.001089 0.001309 0.001611 0.002082
2025-11-16 0.000688 0.000788 0.000912 0.001079 0.001307 0.001624 0.002129
2025-11-23 0.000683 0.000787 0.000916 0.001093 0.001339 0.001687 0.002261
2025-11-30 0.000674 0.000780 0.000913 0.001096 0.001355 0.001728 0.002360
2025-12-07 0.000661 0.000767 0.000901 0.001088 0.001354 0.001743 0.002416
2025-12-14 0.000647 0.000753 0.000887 0.001075 0.001346 0.001748 0.002454
2025-12-21 0.000636 0.000742 0.000877 0.001069 0.001347 0.001764 0.002515
2025-12-28 0.000616 0.000720 0.000852 0.001040 0.001313 0.001725 0.002471
2026-01-04 0.000606 0.000710 0.000843 0.001033 0.001312 0.001738 0.002524
2026-01-11 0.000599 0.000704 0.000839 0.001034 0.001322 0.001769 0.002615
2026-01-18 0.000590 0.000695 0.000830 0.001026 0.001319 0.001779 0.002664